Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000146 0.000162 0.000180 0.000200 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275
2025-09-21 0.000124 0.000147 0.000173 0.000204 0.000242 0.000285 0.000338
2025-09-28 0.000107 0.000134 0.000166 0.000206 0.000257 0.000319 0.000399
2025-10-05 0.000094 0.000122 0.000158 0.000206 0.000269 0.000349 0.000458
2025-10-12 0.000085 0.000115 0.000155 0.000210 0.000286 0.000387 0.000530
2025-10-19 0.000076 0.000107 0.000150 0.000211 0.000298 0.000418 0.000596
2025-10-26 0.000069 0.000100 0.000144 0.000211 0.000309 0.000448 0.000661
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000094 0.000139 0.000210 0.000317 0.000474 0.000724
2025-11-09 0.000057 0.000088 0.000135 0.000210 0.000326 0.000503 0.000793
2025-11-16 0.000052 0.000083 0.000130 0.000207 0.000332 0.000526 0.000854
2025-11-23 0.000048 0.000078 0.000126 0.000207 0.000340 0.000553 0.000923
2025-11-30 0.000045 0.000075 0.000123 0.000207 0.000350 0.000583 0.000999
2025-12-07 0.000041 0.000071 0.000119 0.000205 0.000355 0.000608 0.001070
2025-12-14 0.000039 0.000068 0.000118 0.000209 0.000370 0.000649 0.001174
2025-12-21 0.000036 0.000066 0.000116 0.000210 0.000382 0.000686 0.001271
2025-12-28 0.000034 0.000063 0.000113 0.000209 0.000389 0.000716 0.001361
2026-01-04 0.000032 0.000061 0.000113 0.000213 0.000406 0.000764 0.001487
2026-01-11 0.000030 0.000059 0.000111 0.000214 0.000417 0.000800 0.001594
2026-01-18 0.000029 0.000056 0.000108 0.000214 0.000425 0.000834 0.001698
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000054 0.000105 0.000212 0.000431 0.000863 0.001795
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000052 0.000103 0.000212 0.000439 0.000898 0.001909
2026-02-08 0.000024 0.000049 0.000100 0.000210 0.000443 0.000923 0.002004
2026-02-15 0.000022 0.000047 0.000098 0.000209 0.000450 0.000956 0.002116